Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 22

Severe Weather in United States

JasperUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 13 May 2026 at 08:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 22nd strongest of the 165 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 9 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued May 12 at 10:52AM CDT until May 13 at 1:00PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100, at 61 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)22 / 100
Our confidence61%
Coordinates38.8836, -88.3609
Nearest CityMattoon (66 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-05-12T15:52:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0c23bdecc4d516d7756f75138dd5dbca

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescBrown, IL; Cass, IL; Morgan, IL; Schuyler, IL; Clinton, IL; Gibson, IN; Knox, IN and 1 more areas
HeadlineFlood Warning issued May 12 at 10:52AM CDT until May 13 at 1:00PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL
Expires2026-05-13T03:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Lincoln IL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount5
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0c23bdecc4d516d7756f75138dd5dbcaced8f3b5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4f326f4fcfae8d72807e1db81b035d836c14a9ad.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.67d7ab01c586abca3551854f4bef8fa3258df87c.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.67d7ab01c586abca3551854f4bef8fa3258df87c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.67d7ab01c586abca3551854f4bef8fa3258df87c.003.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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